Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. San Martin vs Santos FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Miguel Grau
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Arteaga A.
20'
Chumpitaz I.
22' Event
Arteaga A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between U. San Martin and Santos FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
U. San Martin
6%
Draws
4%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives U. San Martin a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 68%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Santos FC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Santos FC
2:0
May 10, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs U. San Martin
2:3
Jul 15, 2024 Club Friendly
U. San Martin vs Santos FC
0:0
Jul 15, 2024 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Santos FC
2:3
May 27, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs U. San Martin
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Arteaga A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santos FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 95 / 100
Santos FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Santos FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos FC let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: U. San Martin scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

U. San Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS Santos FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca1281319:1325
2San Marcos125349:518
3Cesar Vallejo1252514:1017
4Carlos Mannucci1252517:1417
5ADA Jaen1244412:1316
6Llacuabamba1243512:1715
7Pirata123185:1610
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC1484225:1228
2Moquegua1474320:1325
3Union Comercio1472524:1923
4Tacna Heroica1472525:2123
5Santos FC1463521:2121
6U. San Martin1462617:2020
7Deportivo Coopsol1433813:2512
8AD Cantolao1404107:214