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UA Zacatecas vs Cimarrones de Sonora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
UA Zacatecas Logo

UA Zacatecas

0 - 4
FT
Cimarrones de Sonora Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Navarro B.
39'
Aguilar A.
60' Event
Navarro B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between UA Zacatecas and Cimarrones de Sonora finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cimarrones de Sonora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
UA Zacatecas
35%
Draws
30%
Cimarrones de Sonora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cimarrones de Sonora come out ahead of UA Zacatecas on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 10%
Cimarrones de Sonora Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UA Zacatecas Cimarrones de Sonora
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Cimarrones de Sonora
0:4
Sep 2, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs UA Zacatecas
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Cimarrones de Sonora
0:3
Dec 7, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs UA Zacatecas
0:0
Dec 4, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs UA Zacatecas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UA Zacatecas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cimarrones de Sonora Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Serna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UA Zacatecas 34 / 100
Cimarrones de Sonora 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UA Zacatecas Cimarrones de Sonora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UA Zacatecas's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: UA Zacatecas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cimarrones de Sonora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

UA Zacatecas VS Cimarrones de Sonora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UA Zacatecas

(Home)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Zapotlanejo
4 : 2
UA Zacatecas
18 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 0
Tecos
14 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

Cimarrones de Sonora

(Away)
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
23 Apr
Celaya
2 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4
Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)