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Stadium Background

UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Monumental de Villa Lynch, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rodriguez V.
17' Event
Pesse V.
46'
Sub
Gomez M. In: Cohen E.
Out: Gomez M.

AI Match Summary

UAI Urquiza in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UAI Urquiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
UAI Urquiza
15%
Draws
26%
Argentino de Merlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UAI Urquiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Argentino de Merlo lately — more wins on the board than UAI Urquiza.
  • UAI Urquiza are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 20%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UAI Urquiza Argentino de Merlo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 6
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.54 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs UAI Urquiza
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs UAI Urquiza
0:0
Nov 4, 2024 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UAI Urquiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pesse V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UAI Urquiza 42 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UAI Urquiza Argentino de Merlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Argentino de Merlo let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

UAI Urquiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Argentino de Merlo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UAI Urquiza VS Argentino de Merlo
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UAI Urquiza

(Home)
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
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Argentino de Merlo

(Away)
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)