Sport Picks
UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Monumental de Villa Lynch, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
6'
6'
Monzon S.
19'
19'
Galli F.
21'
21'
Tellas G.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between UAI Urquiza and Excursionistas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Excursionistas come out ahead of UAI Urquiza on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Excursionistas's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 15%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UAI Urquiza | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 14 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.52 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas
1:2
May 8, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs UAI Urquiza
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs UAI Urquiza
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UAI Urquiza Compare
Top Goalscorer Galli F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Tellas G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gimenez W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UAI Urquiza 19 / 100
Excursionistas 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UAI Urquiza Excursionistas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excursionistas has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: UAI Urquiza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
UAI Urquiza's goal record stands at 34% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
UAI Urquiza VS Excursionistas
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
UAI Urquiza
(Home) 05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2 Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0 UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 UAI Urquiza
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2 Ituzaingo
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
25 Aug
UAI Urquiza
0 : 2 Laferrere
16 Aug
UAI Urquiza
0 : 1 Deportivo Armenio
Page 1 of 3
Excursionistas
(Away) 03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40:23 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43:29 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
