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Uberaba vs Araguari

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Uberaba Logo

Uberaba

8 - 0
FT
Araguari Logo

Araguari

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Uberaba and Araguari finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uberaba
15%
Draws
0%
Araguari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguari haven't matched Uberaba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uberaba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Uberaba have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 20%
Araguari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberaba Araguari
Matches Played 36 16
Wins 18 0
Draws 10 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.81 0.19
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:6
Oct 30, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Uberaba
0:8
Oct 9, 2021 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Araguari
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberaba 85 / 100
Araguari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberaba Araguari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguari has conceded goals in 94% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.25 goals per match.

Araguari's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Uberaba found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Uberaba VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberaba

(Home)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 8

Araguari

(Away)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)