Sport Picks

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Uberaba vs Essube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues G.
87'
Felipe Muranga

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Uberaba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uberaba
15%
Draws
0%
Essube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uberaba come out ahead of Essube on wins alone.
  • Uberaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uberaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uberaba, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 20%
Essube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberaba Essube
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Uberaba
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Essube
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Uberaba
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Essube
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uberaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Essube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberaba 85 / 100
Essube 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberaba Essube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Essube conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Essube's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Uberaba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uberaba VS Essube
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberaba

(Home)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 7

Essube

(Away)
22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0
Essube
15 Nov
Essube
1 : 3
Boa
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Paracatu 2
Guarani-MG 3
America TO 1
Essube 1
Uberaba 2
Tupynambas 2
Contagem 1
Semi-finals
Paracatu 1
Guarani-MG 2
Uberaba 2
Tupynambas 0
Final
Guarani-MG 5
Uberaba 1