Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uberaba vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uberaba in this Mineiro 3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Uberaba
28%
Draws
22%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uberaba lately — more wins on the board than Varginha.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Uberaba taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 20%
Varginha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberaba Varginha
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Uberaba
2:2
May 10, 2025 Mineiro 2
Uberaba vs Varginha
0:0
Apr 27, 2022 Mineiro 2
Varginha vs Uberaba
0:1
Dec 18, 2021 Mineiro 3
Uberaba vs Varginha
3:2
Dec 16, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Uberaba
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberaba 49 / 100
Varginha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberaba Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UBE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varginha conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Uberaba scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Uberaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uberaba VS Varginha
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba3
Boston City1
Santarritense0
Manchester Futebol1
America TO1
Pocos de Caldas1
Araxa0
Varginha1
Semi-finals
Uberaba3
Manchester Futebol0
America TO0
Varginha2
Final
Uberaba3
Varginha3