Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Marcos Calazans
45'
45'
Tomas Bastos
51'
51'
Diego Ceara
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uberlandia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Uberlandia come out ahead of Serra Branca on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Uberlandia's way, sitting at 60%.
- Uberlandia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 68%
Serra Branca Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uberlandia | Serra Branca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.91 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Serra Branca
2:2
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Serra Branca vs Uberlandia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uberlandia Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcos Calazans
1 Goals Assists Leader Tomas Bastos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46
Serra Branca Compare
Top Goalscorer Diego Ceara
1 Goals Assists Leader Montefiori T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uberlandia 68 / 100
Serra Branca 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uberlandia Serra Branca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uberlandia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uberlandia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Uberlandia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Serra Branca let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Uberlandia VS Serra Branca
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Uberlandia
(Home) 13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1 ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 ABC
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2 Uberlandia
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1 ASA
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 ABC
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 CSA
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0 Portuguesa
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2 Serra Branca
Page 1 of 3
Serra Branca
(Away) 12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2 Serra Branca
04 Jul
Serra Branca
0 : 1 Uberlandia
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1 Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0 Juazeirense
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 2 Serra Branca
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1 Serra Branca
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1 Serra Branca
02 May
Lagarto
1 : 2 Serra Branca
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
