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Ubon United vs Pathum United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2019 game between Ubon United and Pathum United finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pathum United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ubon United
35%
Draws
39%
Pathum United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pathum United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pathum United come out ahead of Ubon United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pathum United a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ubon United Clean Sheet 19%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ubon United Pathum United
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2019 Thai League 2
Ubon United vs Pathum United
1:4
Apr 20, 2019 Thai League 2
Pathum United vs Ubon United
4:1
Oct 3, 2018 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Ubon United
1:1
May 26, 2018 Thai League 1
Ubon United vs Pathum United
0:0
Sep 10, 2017 Thai League 1
Ubon United vs Pathum United
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ubon United 10 / 100
Pathum United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ubon United Pathum United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pathum United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pathum United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ubon United found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Ubon United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pathum United
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ubon United

(Home)
01 Jan
Terengganu
10 : 0
Ubon United
27 Oct
Kasetsart
2 : 1
Ubon United
19 Oct
Ubon United
5 : 0
Samut Sakhon
29 Sept
Police Tero
5 : 0
Ubon United
25 Sept
Ubon United
0 : 0
Nong Bua Pitchaya
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Pathum United

(Away)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pathum United 34 24 6 4 76:27 78
2 Police Tero 34 19 8 7 64:31 65
3 Rayong FC 34 18 7 9 70:59 61
4 Sisaket 34 20 11 3 54:21 59
5 Army United 34 15 10 9 56:43 55
6 Thai Honda FC 34 13 12 9 52:40 51
7 Udon Thani 34 15 6 13 44:43 51
8 Khonkaen FC 34 13 10 11 40:48 49
9 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 12 10 12 43:42 46
10 Lampang F.C. 34 11 12 11 41:45 45
11 Chiangmai United 34 10 10 14 43:43 40
12 Kasetsart 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Air Force Central 34 9 7 18 39:53 34
14 Samut Sakhon 34 8 10 16 43:71 34
15 Siam Navy 34 9 6 19 35:50 33
16 Customs Utd 34 9 6 19 39:68 33
17 Ubon United 34 8 6 20 31:56 30
18 Ayutthaya United 34 5 9 20 37:64 24
Promotion - Thai League 1 2020 (Main)