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UC Cartes vs Bezana

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Gonzalez K. G.
55' Event
Sierra M.
73' Event
Salinas Viadero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UC Cartes and Bezana finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
UC Cartes
30%
Draws
58%
Bezana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bezana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bezana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bezana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 10%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Cartes Bezana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Bezana
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs UC Cartes
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs UC Cartes
1:0
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Bezana
1:3
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs UC Cartes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Cartes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez K. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierra M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salinas Viadero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Cartes 10 / 100
Bezana 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Cartes Bezana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Cartes's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bezana has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

UC Cartes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Cartes VS Bezana
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Cartes

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

Bezana

(Away)
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)