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UC Cartes vs Castro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
UC Cartes Logo

UC Cartes

0 - 0
FT
Castro Logo

Castro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UC Cartes and Castro finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
UC Cartes
35%
Draws
46%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Castro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 17%
Castro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Cartes Castro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Castro
0:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs UC Cartes
4:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs UC Cartes
2:2
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Castro
4:1
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs UC Cartes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Cartes 31 / 100
Castro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Cartes Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UC Cartes scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: UC Cartes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UC Cartes VS Castro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Cartes

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

Castro

(Away)
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)