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UC Cartes vs CD Barquereno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mejia C.
53' Event
Gutierrez H.
64' Event
Ubaldo M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UC Cartes and CD Barquereno finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UC Cartes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
UC Cartes
30%
Draws
23%
CD Barquereno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UC Cartes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Barquereno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on UC Cartes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 68%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Cartes CD Barquereno
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs CD Barquereno
3:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs UC Cartes
0:1
Jan 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs CD Barquereno
2:2
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs UC Cartes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Cartes Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ubaldo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parra A. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Cartes 68 / 100
CD Barquereno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Cartes CD Barquereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Cartes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Barquereno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

UC Cartes found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Barquereno's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UC Cartes VS CD Barquereno
0.86 Goals Scored 1
1.71 Goals Conceded 2.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Cartes

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

CD Barquereno

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Laredo
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)