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UC Cartes vs Guarnizo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
UC Cartes Logo

UC Cartes

0 - 0
FT
Guarnizo Logo

Guarnizo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UC Cartes and Guarnizo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
UC Cartes
35%
Draws
32%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UC Cartes haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • UC Cartes are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 12%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Cartes Guarnizo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 17
Draws 9 10
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Guarnizo
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs UC Cartes
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs UC Cartes
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Guarnizo
0:2
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Guarnizo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Cartes 40 / 100
Guarnizo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Cartes Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Cartes scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guarnizo conceded in 47% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UC Cartes VS Guarnizo
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Cartes

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

Guarnizo

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)