Sport Picks

Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl

UC Dublin

0 - 1

Kerry

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Brosnan C.

60'

Sub

Okwute D. In: Keane R.

Out: Okwute D.

61'

Sub

McCullagh M. In: Mohan S.

Out: McCullagh M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kerry in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kerry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

UC Dublin

33%

Draws

27%

Kerry

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to UC Dublin lately — more wins on the board than Kerry.
Win probability leans UC Dublin's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

UC Dublin Clean Sheet 18%

Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UC Dublin	Kerry
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	13	7
Draws	5	10
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Division 1

UC Dublin vs Kerry

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Apr 10, 2026 Division 1

Kerry vs UC Dublin

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Feb 13, 2026 Division 1

UC Dublin vs Kerry

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sep 19, 2025 Division 1

UC Dublin vs Kerry

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Jul 25, 2025 Division 1

Kerry vs UC Dublin

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Brosnan C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 40 / 100

Kerry 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UC Dublin Kerry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kerry conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UC Dublin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Kerry

1.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46:15	54
2	Bray	23	10	7	6	46:30	37
3	UC Dublin	23	11	3	9	36:27	36
4	Longford	23	8	7	8	27:30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25:32	31
6	Wexford	23	7	7	9	27:32	28
7	Athlone	23	7	6	10	21:27	27
8	Kerry	23	6	8	9	24:29	26
9	Treaty United	23	5	8	10	22:34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20:38	22