Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin play Bray in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, UC Dublin averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Bray averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, UC Dublin won 1, Bray won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for UC Dublin and 2.25 for Bray. This points to a Bray double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
UC Dublin
15%
Draws
44%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • UC Dublin picked up more points recently compared to Bray.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Bray
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Bray
3:4
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs UC Dublin
2:1
Oct 28, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs UC Dublin
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Bray
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Bray
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Dignam L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murphy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer McCormack B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sesay J. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 39 / 100
Bray 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Bray

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bray or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UC Dublin attacking → ← attacking Bray

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Bray let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

UC Dublin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bray lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 43
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin21113735:1936
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Wexford2276925:3027
6Kerry2267922:2725
7Longford2167821:2625
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420