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Drogheda vs UC Dublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Drogheda have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against UC Dublin's 2.03 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor Drogheda slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.75, favoring UC Dublin. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Drogheda
15%
Draws
50%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • UC Dublin have won more games recently than Drogheda.
  • Model gives UC Dublin a 50% chance of winning this.
  • UC Dublin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Drogheda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Drogheda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 12%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda UC Dublin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.32 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs UC Dublin
1:1
Sep 1, 2023 Premier Division
Drogheda vs UC Dublin
3:0
Jul 14, 2023 Premier Division
UC Dublin vs Drogheda
1:3
May 26, 2023 Premier Division
Drogheda vs UC Dublin
3:1
Mar 10, 2023 Premier Division
UC Dublin vs Drogheda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 14 / 100
UC Dublin 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda UC Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Dublin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drogheda found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

UC Dublin has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Drogheda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS UC Dublin
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
30 Oct
Drogheda
2 : 0
Galway United
23 Oct
Waterford
3 : 1
Drogheda
16 Oct
Drogheda
2 : 0
Derry City
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
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UC Dublin

(Away)
01 Nov
Bray
1 : 3
UC Dublin
27 Oct
UC Dublin
2 : 0
Longford
24 Oct
Longford
0 : 2
UC Dublin
16 Oct
Wexford
2 : 5
UC Dublin
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Drogheda -
UC Dublin -