Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Dundalk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between UC Dublin and Dundalk finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundalk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UC Dublin
20%
Draws
40%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • UC Dublin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dundalk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dundalk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Dundalk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
UC Dublin vs Dundalk
1:5
Sep 26, 2025 Division 1
Dundalk vs UC Dublin
3:2
Aug 1, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Dundalk
0:1
Jun 13, 2025 Division 1
Dundalk vs UC Dublin
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Dundalk
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 26 / 100
Dundalk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundalk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Dundalk conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: UC Dublin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Dundalk
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2
Derry City
07 Aug
UC Dublin
4 : 1
Wexford
03 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2
Treaty United
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Dundalk

(Away)
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
21 Aug
Dundalk
1 : 2
Galway United
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0
Castlebar Celtic
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Dundalk
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1
Sligo Rovers
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