Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 UCD Bowl, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Akinrintayo C.
38' Event
Bradley S.
43' Event
Brogan O.

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored UC Dublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
UC Dublin
20%
Draws
30%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • UC Dublin have won more games recently than Finn Harps.
  • Model gives UC Dublin a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UC Dublin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 18%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.86 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Finn Harps
5:4
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
0:5
Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Finn Harps
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs UC Dublin
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Dignam L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akinrintayo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradley S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brogan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 85 / 100
Finn Harps 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Dublin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Finn Harps let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Solid form: UC Dublin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Finn Harps
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

Finn Harps

(Away)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)