Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Dublin vs Letterkenny Rovers

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2019 UCD Bowl, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Banda B.
50' Event
Mahdy Y.
60' Event
McClelland J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with UC Dublin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UC Dublin
30%
Draws
41%
Letterkenny Rovers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Letterkenny Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • UC Dublin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Letterkenny Rovers taking it.
  • UC Dublin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UC Dublin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%
Letterkenny Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Letterkenny Rovers
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.58 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2019 FAI Cup
UC Dublin vs Letterkenny Rovers
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerrigan L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mahdy Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

Letterkenny Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 26 / 100
Letterkenny Rovers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Letterkenny Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Letterkenny Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Letterkenny Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 13 matches.

UC Dublin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS Letterkenny Rovers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.2
2 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 7

Letterkenny Rovers

(Away)
26 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
6 : 3
TU Dublin
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
05 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
3 : 0
Mayo FC
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
11 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 2
Letterkenny Rovers
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Avondale United 4
Newtown Rangers 3
TBD -
Drogheda -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Collinstown 1
St Mochta's 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Crumlin Utd -
TBD -
University College Cork 0
Malahide United 2
Killester Donnycarney -
TBD -
Aisling Annacotty 1
Lucan Utd 3
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Midleton 1
Glebe North 2
Cobh Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Letterkenny Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
Rockmount 1
Maynooth University 5
St. Michaels 1
Sheriff YC 0
Home Farm 1
Glengad United 2
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
1/16-finals
Shamrock Rovers 1
Finn Harps 0
Avondale United 1
Drogheda 2
Cork City 3
Cabinteely 2
Collinstown 1
Galway United 2
Crumlin Utd 3
Malahide United 1
Killester Donnycarney 1
Lucan Utd 2
Longford 3
Athlone 1
Shelbourne 2
Bohemians 3
Sligo Rovers 8
Glebe North 0
Cobh Wanderers 0
Limerick 1
St. Patricks 2
Bray 1
Letterkenny Rovers 2
UC Dublin 5
Waterford 2
Maynooth University 0
St. Michaels 0
Glengad United 1
Derry City 1
Wexford 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
1/8-finals
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 0
Cork City 0
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 3
Lucan Utd 1
Longford 1
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 6
Limerick 2
St. Patricks 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 2
Glengad United 0
Derry City 2
Dundalk 3
Quarter-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 4
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 1
Dundalk 3
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 1
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1