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UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UCAM Murcia B
35%
Draws
42%
Alcantarilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B have won more games recently than Alcantarilla.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia B's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia B Alcantarilla
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 14 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.68 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs UCAM Murcia B
1:0
May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs UCAM Murcia B
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 36 / 100
Alcantarilla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia B Alcantarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia B found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Alcantarilla conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: UCAM Murcia B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia B VS Alcantarilla
2.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.33
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia B

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia B
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 7

Alcantarilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)