Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Kabore S.
89'
89'
Lopez P.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between UCAM Murcia B and Bala Azul finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- UCAM Murcia B carry the better recent record into this one.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on UCAM Murcia B taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UCAM Murcia B | Bala Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 14 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Bala Azul
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia B
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia B
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Bala Azul
1:0
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia B
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UCAM Murcia B Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Bala Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Kabore S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UCAM Murcia B 86 / 100
Bala Azul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UCAM Murcia B Bala Azul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UCAM Murcia B scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Bala Azul let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: UCAM Murcia B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
UCAM Murcia B VS Bala Azul
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
UCAM Murcia B
(Home) 20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0 Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Muleno CF
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0 Deportivo Maritimo
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Muleno CF
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
3 : 3 Mazarron FC
11 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Deportivo Maritimo
29 Mar
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0 Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3
Bala Azul
(Away) 20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
12 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 3 Bala Azul
28 Mar
Yeclano B
0 : 3 Bala Azul
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
