Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Gonzalez A.
73'
73'
Cohete A.
83'
83'
Bonilla D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between UCAM Murcia B and CD Algar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCAM Murcia B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UCAM Murcia B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UCAM Murcia B come out ahead of CD Algar on wins alone.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on UCAM Murcia B taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and UCAM Murcia B have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UCAM Murcia B | CD Algar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.27 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs CD Algar
3:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs UCAM Murcia B
0:2
Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs CD Algar
2:1
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs UCAM Murcia B
0:2
Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs CD Algar
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UCAM Murcia B Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bonilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14
CD Algar Compare
Top Goalscorer Cohete A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UCAM Murcia B 95 / 100
CD Algar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UCAM Murcia B CD Algar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UCAM Murcia B scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
CD Algar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
UCAM Murcia B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
UCAM Murcia B VS CD Algar
2.75 Goals Scored 0.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
100% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UCAM Murcia B
(Home) 27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0 Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 San Javier
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0 Deportivo Maritimo
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Muleno CF
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
3 : 3 Mazarron FC
11 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 3
CD Algar
(Away) 27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2 Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0 CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3 Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0 CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0 Minerva
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0 CD Algar
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0 CD Algar
05 May
Bullense
5 : 0 CD Algar
27 Apr
Ciudad Cieza
0 : 0 CD Algar
13 Apr
Montecasillas
3 : 1 CD Algar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | 78 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 44:24 | 68 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 42:24 | 62 |
| 5 | Caravaca | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:32 | 61 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 64:30 | 59 |
| 7 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 60:34 | 59 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:23 | 52 |
| 9 | Muleno CF | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 10 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 12 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 13 | Bullense | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:65 | 36 |
| 14 | Balsicas Atletico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 15 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:43 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:65 | 29 |
| 18 | Montecasillas | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 31:90 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
