Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCAM Murcia B vs Racing Murcia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ingles T.
46' Event
Ivorra I.

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
UCAM Murcia B
20%
Draws
0%
Racing Murcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UCAM Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia B lately — more wins on the board than Racing Murcia.
  • Model gives UCAM Murcia B a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia B Racing Murcia
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 16 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Racing Murcia
2:0
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs UCAM Murcia B
0:1
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Racing Murcia
3:1
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs UCAM Murcia B
2:0
May 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs UCAM Murcia B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingles T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivorra I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Racing Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 95 / 100
Racing Murcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia B Racing Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia B scored in 80% of their last 41 games.

Difficult form: Racing Murcia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Racing Murcia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia B VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia B

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia B
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 9

Racing Murcia

(Away)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)