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UCAM Murcia vs Cartagena La Union

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between UCAM Murcia and Cartagena La Union finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
UCAM Murcia
17%
Draws
70%
Cartagena La Union
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cartagena La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagena La Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cartagena La Union a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cartagena La Union have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 19%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Cartagena La Union
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs UCAM Murcia
2:1
Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Cartagena La Union
1:3
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Cartagena La Union
1:0
Sep 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs UCAM Murcia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 16 / 100
Cartagena La Union 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Cartagena La Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cartagena La Union let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UCAM Murcia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
03 May
Xerez CD
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
Jaen
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
05 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
UCAM Murcia
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Cartagena La Union

(Away)
29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0
Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1
Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4
Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1
Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5
Cartagena La Union
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)