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UCAM Murcia vs Hercules

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
UCAM Murcia
30%
Draws
23%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Hercules.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Hercules
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
2:3
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Hercules vs UCAM Murcia
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
3:1
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Hercules vs UCAM Murcia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 95 / 100
Hercules 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Hercules's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Hercules
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2
Orihuela
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1
Hercules
03 May
Xerez CD
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
Jaen
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
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Hercules

(Away)
14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0
Hercules
13 Aug
Hercules
0 : 2
Valencia
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1
Hercules
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
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