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UCAM Murcia vs Hercules - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UCAM Murcia
15%
Draws
45%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Hercules.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Hercules
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.86 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
2:3
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Hercules vs UCAM Murcia
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
3:1
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Hercules vs UCAM Murcia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 59 / 100
Hercules 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: UCAM Murcia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Hercules
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5
UCAM Murcia
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
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Hercules

(Away)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
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