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UCAM Murcia vs Hercules

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ivanov B.
26' Event
Pla P.
40' Event
Ivanov B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between UCAM Murcia and Hercules finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UCAM Murcia
39%
Draws
30%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 20%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Hercules
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
2:3
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Hercules vs UCAM Murcia
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
3:1
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Hercules vs UCAM Murcia
2:2
Sep 9, 2020 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Hercules
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pla P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sol F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 32 / 100
Hercules 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Hercules

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

UCAM Murcia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Hercules
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%