Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCAM Murcia vs Murcia

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Campillo M.
53' Event
Zenitagoia E.
58' Event
Canto S.

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UCAM Murcia
39%
Draws
30%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Murcia haven't matched UCAM Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors UCAM Murcia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 16%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Murcia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
3:2
Jan 2, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
1:1
Dec 29, 2023 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
3:0
Dec 30, 2022 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
1:0
Dec 29, 2021 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Campillo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenitagoia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yoldi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 31 / 100
Murcia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Murcia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

UCAM Murcia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Murcia
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
03 May
Xerez CD
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
Jaen
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
05 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
UCAM Murcia
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Murcia

(Away)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2
Betis B
03 May
Sabadell
2 : 2
Murcia
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