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UCAM Murcia vs Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Campillo M.
53' Event
Zenitagoia E.
58' Event
Canto S.

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UCAM Murcia
15%
Draws
42%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: UCAM Murcia at 1.86 per game, Murcia at 1.6.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors UCAM Murcia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Murcia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
3:2
Jan 2, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
1:1
Dec 29, 2023 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
3:0
Dec 30, 2022 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
1:0
Dec 29, 2021 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Murcia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Campillo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenitagoia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yoldi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 59 / 100
Murcia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Murcia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

UCAM Murcia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Murcia
2.71 Goals Scored 2.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5
UCAM Murcia
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
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Murcia

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Murcia
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
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