Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Boryachuk A.
Penalty Missed
45'
Vyshynskyi B.
46'
Sub
Andrushchenko M. In: Icaro
Out: Andrushchenko M.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between UCSA and Nyva Ternopil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UCSA
30%
Draws
39%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nyva Ternopil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UCSA come out ahead of Nyva Ternopil on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • UCSA have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
UCSA Clean Sheet 20%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCSA Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Jun 1, 2026 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs UCSA
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabiyev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCSA 36 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCSA Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCSA found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Nyva Ternopil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

UCSA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCSA VS Nyva Ternopil
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UCSA

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 : 2
UCSA
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
20 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 0
UCSA
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1
UCSA
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
8 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
9 Metalist Kharkiv 10 4 2 4 11:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)