Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Boryachuk A.
Penalty Missed
45'
Vyshynskyi B.
46'
Sub
Andrushchenko M. In: Icaro
Out: Andrushchenko M.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between UCSA and Nyva Ternopil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UCSA
35%
Draws
22%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UCSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UCSA come out ahead of Nyva Ternopil on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on UCSA taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • UCSA have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UCSA Clean Sheet 14%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCSA Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.32 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Jun 1, 2026 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs UCSA
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabiyev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCSA 41 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCSA Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nyva Ternopil conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

UCSA's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

UCSA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCSA VS Nyva Ternopil
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCSA

(Home)
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
31 Jul
UCSA
4 : 4
Oleksandriya
25 Jul
Zhytomyr 2
2 : 2
UCSA
10 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
UCSA
04 Jul
Veres Rivne
3 : 0
UCSA
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
01 Aug
SC Poltava
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
24 Jul
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
18 Jul
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
03 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Oleksandriya 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
3 SC Poltava 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
4 Kulikiv 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
6 Metalist Kharkiv 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 UCSA 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
9 FC Chernihiv 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
10 Inhulets 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
11 Lokomotyv Kyiv 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Nyva Ternopil 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Zhytomyr 2 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
15 Probiy Horodenka 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
16 Fenix Mariupol 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)