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UD Alagoana W vs Doce Mel W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Silva A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Vitoria L.
90' Event
Miranda D.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between UD Alagoana W and Doce Mel W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Alagoana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
UD Alagoana W
15%
Draws
21%
Doce Mel W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Alagoana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Alagoana W come out ahead of Doce Mel W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • UD Alagoana W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 11%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Alagoana W Doce Mel W
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 27 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 2.6 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
UD Alagoana W vs Doce Mel W
2:1
Jun 13, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
UD Alagoana W vs Doce Mel W
0:2
Jun 6, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Doce Mel W vs UD Alagoana W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Alagoana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitoria L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Doce Mel W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alagoana W 30 / 100
Doce Mel W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Alagoana W Doce Mel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Alagoana W's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 47 recent games.

Doce Mel W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Doce Mel W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Alagoana W VS Doce Mel W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Alagoana W

(Home)
08 Aug
UD Alagoana W
0 : 4
Vasco W
01 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
4 : 0
UD Alagoana W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
01 Jun
UD Alagoana W
0 : 2
Acao W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
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Doce Mel W

(Away)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)