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UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W

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Alagoano Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano Women 2024 game between UD Alagoana W and Guarani de Paripueira W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Alagoana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD Alagoana W
6%
Draws
4%
Guarani de Paripueira W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Alagoana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Alagoana W come out ahead of Guarani de Paripueira W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UD Alagoana W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Alagoana W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Paripueira W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Alagoana W Guarani de Paripueira W
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 16 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2025 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
3:0
May 4, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Guarani de Paripueira W vs UD Alagoana W
0:3
Nov 20, 2024 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
5:0
Sep 29, 2024 Alagoano Women
Guarani de Paripueira W vs UD Alagoana W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alagoana W 95 / 100
Guarani de Paripueira W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Alagoana W Guarani de Paripueira W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Guarani de Paripueira W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: UD Alagoana W scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Guarani de Paripueira W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Alagoana W VS Guarani de Paripueira W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
UD Alagoana W4
Canoense W0
Guarani de Paripueira W3
Acaua FC W0
Final
UD Alagoana W5
Guarani de Paripueira W0