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UD Alaro vs Soller

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

UD Alaro in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Alaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Alaro
15%
Draws
85%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Alaro haven't matched Soller's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Soller's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 20%
Soller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Alaro Soller
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 0.37 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Soller
1:0
Dec 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs UD Alaro
1:1
Mar 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Soller
3:1
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs UD Alaro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alaro 20 / 100
Soller 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Alaro Soller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soller Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soller has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Difficult form: Soller registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: UD Alaro scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Soller
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Alaro

(Home)
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0
UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4
Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1
Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0
UD Alaro
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Soller

(Away)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Formentera 38 20 13 5 41:13 73
2 Llosetense 38 20 12 6 66:35 72
3 Pena Deportiva 38 21 9 8 57:40 72
4 Mercadal 38 19 10 9 64:32 67
5 Constancia 38 19 9 10 64:42 66
6 UD Poblense 38 18 12 8 64:37 66
7 Binissalem 38 17 15 6 63:33 66
8 Soller 38 13 14 11 52:54 53
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 8 16 43:50 50
10 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 12 14 45:43 48
11 CD Montuiri 38 12 9 17 49:58 45
12 Campos 38 10 13 15 34:44 43
13 Collerense 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
14 UD Alaro 38 10 12 16 44:55 42
15 Alcudia 38 9 15 14 32:52 42
16 Ferriolense 38 10 11 17 39:50 41
17 Platges de Calvia 38 7 20 11 32:41 41
18 CD Son Cladera 38 9 8 21 30:65 35
19 Manacor 38 6 13 19 36:65 31
20 Atletico Rafal 38 5 11 22 37:73 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)