Sport Picks
UD Alaro vs UD Poblense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
UD Poblense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Poblense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Poblense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- UD Poblense have won more games recently than UD Alaro.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on UD Poblense taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and UD Poblense have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 20%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Alaro | UD Poblense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.37 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs UD Alaro
4:0
Dec 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs UD Poblense
0:2
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs UD Poblense
0:2
Sep 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs UD Alaro
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Alaro 10 / 100
UD Poblense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Alaro UD Poblense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
UD Poblense lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: UD Alaro scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.
UD Poblense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS UD Poblense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Alaro
(Home) 15 May
Collerense
3 : 0 UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4 Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0 UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0 UD Alaro
Page 1 of 6
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4 Alcudia
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Mercadal
09 Apr
UD Alaro
1 : 2 Ferriolense
19 Mar
UD Alaro
0 : 1 CD Montuiri
01 Mar
UD Alaro
0 : 1 Esporles
Page 1 of 3
UD Poblense
(Away) 04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1 UD Poblense
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1 UD Poblense
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0 UD Poblense
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1 UD Poblense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Formentera | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 41:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Llosetense | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 57:40 | 72 |
| 4 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Constancia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:42 | 66 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 64:37 | 66 |
| 7 | Binissalem | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 63:33 | 66 |
| 8 | Soller | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 9 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43:50 | 50 |
| 10 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 34:44 | 43 |
| 13 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 43 |
| 14 | UD Alaro | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44:55 | 42 |
| 15 | Alcudia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 32:52 | 42 |
| 16 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 18 | CD Son Cladera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30:65 | 35 |
| 19 | Manacor | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:65 | 31 |
| 20 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 37:73 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
