Sport Picks
UD Almansa vs La Roda
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
UD Almansa host La Roda in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022. UD Almansa go into this one as the clear favorite. La Roda have shipped 3.07 goals a game lately, while UD Almansa have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor UD Almansa slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2022, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.50 - 1.44) back UD Almansa to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Almansa have won more games recently than La Roda.
- Win probability leans UD Almansa's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Almansa | La Roda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 0 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 30 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 3.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: La Roda conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: La Roda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
UD Almansa's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Almansa
(Home)La Roda
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71:19 | 77 |
| 2 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 63:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Illescas | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 53:25 | 64 |
| 5 | Torrijos | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 50:30 | 60 |
| 6 | Conquense | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 49:30 | 56 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:38 | 55 |
| 8 | Azuqueca | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 55:40 | 54 |
| 9 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 50:26 | 54 |
| 10 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 12 | Albacete B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:40 | 44 |
| 13 | UD Almansa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 52:56 | 37 |
| 15 | San Clemente | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | 36 |
| 16 | Miguelturreno | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 35:67 | 25 |
| 17 | Hogar Alcarreno | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 29:90 | 17 |
| 18 | La Roda | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0:102 | 0 |
