Sport Picks
UD Almansa vs UD Talavera
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- UD Almansa have won more games recently than UD Talavera.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 17%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Almansa | UD Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 43 | 34 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.51 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs UD Almansa
2:2
Jan 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs UD Talavera
3:2
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs UD Talavera
0:0
Jan 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs UD Almansa
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Almansa 30 / 100
UD Talavera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Almansa UD Talavera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Almansa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Talavera let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.
UD Almansa scored in 74% of their last 43 games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
UD Talavera's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
UD Almansa VS UD Talavera
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Almansa
(Home) 19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0 UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0 La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2 UD Almansa
26 Aug
UD Almansa
2 : 7 Ilicitano
20 Aug
UD Almansa
0 : 5 Ilicitano
Page 1 of 9
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0 La Solana
26 Aug
UD Almansa
2 : 7 Ilicitano
20 Aug
UD Almansa
0 : 5 Ilicitano
24 Apr
UD Almansa
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
10 Apr
UD Almansa
3 : 0 La Roda
Page 1 of 5
UD Talavera
(Away) 20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2 UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3 Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
Page 1 of 7
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
14 Apr
Manzanares
0 : 1 UD Talavera
31 Mar
CF Talavera
0 : 0 UD Talavera
17 Mar
Conquense
3 : 1 UD Talavera
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 67:26 | 86 |
| 2 | UD Almansa | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:26 | 67 |
| 3 | Azuqueca | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:39 | 67 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 60:25 | 67 |
| 5 | Illescas | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 54:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 7 | Alcazar | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 50:34 | 64 |
| 8 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57:60 | 54 |
| 9 | Madridejos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 50:49 | 53 |
| 10 | Marchamalo | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 50:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Torrijos | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42:59 | 45 |
| 12 | Manzanares | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 46:51 | 44 |
| 13 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 37:48 | 44 |
| 14 | UD Talavera | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 40:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Atletico Ibanes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 35:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Socuellamos | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:58 | 40 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 43:57 | 40 |
| 18 | La Gineta | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 41:63 | 39 |
| 19 | CD Carranque | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 23:63 | 30 |
| 20 | Puertollano B | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 38:78 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
