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UD Almansa vs Villarrobledo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 game between UD Almansa and Villarrobledo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarrobledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UD Almansa
39%
Draws
30%
Villarrobledo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Almansa haven't matched Villarrobledo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Villarrobledo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 27%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Almansa Villarrobledo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Villarrobledo
1:3
Nov 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs UD Almansa
2:0
Apr 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs UD Almansa
2:1
Nov 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Villarrobledo
0:2
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs UD Almansa
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Almansa 33 / 100
Villarrobledo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Almansa Villarrobledo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Almansa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: UD Almansa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villarrobledo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrobledo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guadalajara34238371:1977
2Quintanar del Rey34217663:2970
3Illescas34207756:3367
4Villarrobledo341810653:2564
5Torrijos34179850:3060
6Conquense341511849:3056
7Villarrubia341671145:3855
8Azuqueca341661255:4054
9Manchego Ciudad Real341591050:2654
10CD Tarancon341631546:4551
11Villacanas341371447:5146
12Albacete B3411111247:4044
13UD Almansa341271544:5143
14Huracan de Balazote341071752:5637
15San Clemente341061830:5036
16Miguelturreno34742335:6725
17Hogar Alcarreno34452529:9017
18La Roda3400340:1020