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UD Aretxabaleta vs Beasain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between UD Aretxabaleta and Beasain finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Aretxabaleta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UD Aretxabaleta come out ahead of Beasain on wins alone.
- Model gives UD Aretxabaleta a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 68%
Beasain Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Aretxabaleta | Beasain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs Beasain
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs UD Aretxabaleta
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs Beasain
2:1
Mar 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs UD Aretxabaleta
3:1
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs Beasain
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Aretxabaleta 68 / 100
Beasain 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Aretxabaleta Beasain
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Aretxabaleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UD Aretxabaleta scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Beasain let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
UD Aretxabaleta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
UD Aretxabaleta VS Beasain
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Aretxabaleta
(Home) 03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2 Derio
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0 UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1 UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2 Derio
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
22 Aug
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 0 Mirandes B
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1 Zamudio
26 Apr
UD Aretxabaleta
2 : 5 Real Sociedad C
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Beasain
(Away) 04 Oct
Derio
2 : 0 Beasain
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2 SCD Durango
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0 Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0 Santurtzi
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04 Oct
Derio
2 : 0 Beasain
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0 Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0 Beasain
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | SCD Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | SD Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)
