Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010

UD Badajoz

4 - 0

CD Santa Marta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between UD Badajoz and CD Santa Marta finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UD Badajoz

Draws

CD Santa Marta

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CD Santa Marta haven't matched UD Badajoz's recent run of results.
Win probability leans UD Badajoz's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors UD Badajoz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%

CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Badajoz	CD Santa Marta
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	23	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	4	17
Goals Scored	2.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

UD Badajoz vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

4:0

Dec 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

UD Badajoz vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Badajoz 85 / 100

CD Santa Marta 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Badajoz CD Santa Marta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Badajoz's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Santa Marta conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: UD Badajoz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Badajoz VS -

2.25 Goals Scored 0

0.38 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Badajoz	38	32	5	1	109:19	101
2	Jerez CF	38	27	8	3	77:14	89
3	Extremadura UD	38	24	7	7	77:26	79
4	Arroyo	38	22	8	8	72:43	74
5	Merida UD	38	21	9	8	55:28	72
6	Sp. Villanueva	38	18	13	7	71:50	67
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	16	9	13	54:49	57
8	Don Benito	38	15	8	15	48:50	53
9	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:49	51
10	Imperio Merida	38	11	14	13	59:56	47
11	Olivenza CP	38	12	11	15	34:45	47
12	Miajadas	38	12	8	18	28:42	44
13	UD Badajoz	38	12	7	19	54:68	43
14	Moralo	38	12	7	19	40:52	43
15	Valdelacalzada	38	9	13	16	35:54	40
16	CD Coria	38	8	10	20	50:76	34
17	CD Santa Marta	38	8	7	23	43:70	31
18	Montehermoso	38	8	6	24	31:79	30
19	La Estrella	38	6	9	23	27:84	27
20	SP Villafranca	38	6	5	27	30:87	23