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UD Balos vs Atletico Arona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008 game between UD Balos and Atletico Arona finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Balos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
UD Balos
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Arona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Balos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Balos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives UD Balos a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
UD Balos Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Arona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Balos Atletico Arona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Balos vs Atletico Arona
3:0
Oct 27, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Arona vs UD Balos
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Balos 84 / 100
Atletico Arona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Balos Atletico Arona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Balos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arona let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Atletico Arona has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: UD Balos scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UD Balos VS Atletico Arona
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Balos

(Home)
17 May
UD Balos
2 : 0
CD Marino
11 May
Las Zocas
3 : 1
UD Balos
03 May
UD Balos
3 : 2
AD Laguna
26 Apr
Victoria CD
7 : 1
UD Balos
19 Apr
UD Balos
1 : 3
Atletico Granadilla
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Arona

(Away)
18 May
Atletico Arona
0 : 2
SD Tenisca
10 May
CD Marino
2 : 0
Atletico Arona
01 May
Atletico Arona
2 : 4
Las Zocas
26 Apr
AD Laguna
6 : 0
Atletico Arona
20 Apr
Atletico Arona
3 : 5
Victoria CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Granadilla 38 20 14 4 68:36 74
2 Las Palmas B 38 21 10 7 60:36 73
3 Galdar 38 22 7 9 47:25 73
4 Castillo CF 38 20 8 10 58:36 68
5 Las Zocas 38 17 9 12 56:42 60
6 SD Tenisca 38 16 9 13 46:39 57
7 CD Teguise 38 14 15 9 33:26 57
8 Orientacion Maritima 38 16 9 13 53:50 57
9 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 15 11 12 47:45 56
10 AD Laguna 38 16 7 15 55:43 55
11 Victoria CD 38 12 13 13 55:48 49
12 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 11 14 13 36:48 47
13 Tenerife B 38 12 10 16 42:46 46
14 Tijarafe 38 12 9 17 44:55 45
15 UD Tegueste 38 11 12 15 36:44 45
16 CF Union Antigua 38 11 11 16 35:42 44
17 CD Marino 38 12 7 19 42:46 43
18 UD Balos 38 9 10 19 38:62 37
19 Ibarra 38 10 4 24 36:61 34
20 Atletico Arona 38 4 9 25 34:91 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)