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UD Barbastro vs Castellon B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sanz R.
44' Event
Mingotes E.
86' Event
Fadel I.

AI Match Summary

UD Barbastro in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Barbastro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
UD Barbastro
20%
Draws
56%
Castellon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Castellon B at 1.64 per game, UD Barbastro at 1.17.
  • Castellon B are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
UD Barbastro Clean Sheet 20%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Barbastro Castellon B
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.64
Goals Conceded 1 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Barbastro vs Castellon B
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon B vs UD Barbastro
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Barbastro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mingotes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadel I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Barbastro 16 / 100
Castellon B 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Barbastro Castellon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: UD Barbastro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

UD Barbastro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Barbastro VS Castellon B
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Barbastro

(Home)
27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
20 Sept
UD Barbastro
0 : 1
Barcelona B
13 Sept
Terrassa
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
06 Sept
UD Barbastro
4 : 3
Girona B
22 Aug
Huesca
1 : 0
UD Barbastro
Page 1 of 6

Castellon B

(Away)
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Castellon B
1 : 2
CF Intercity
29 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Castellon B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)