Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Carboneras vs CD Baza

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Carboneras in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Carboneras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Carboneras
15%
Draws
85%
CD Baza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Baza have won more games recently than UD Carboneras.
  • Win probability leans CD Baza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and UD Carboneras have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 10%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Carboneras CD Baza
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 30 16
Goals Scored 0.06 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs CD Baza
2:0
Aug 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs UD Carboneras
1:3
Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs CD Baza
1:0
Sep 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs UD Carboneras
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carboneras 10 / 100
CD Baza 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Carboneras CD Baza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Baza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Baza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

UD Carboneras scored in 3% of their last 31 games.

CD Baza's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Carboneras VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Carboneras

(Home)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
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CD Baza

(Away)
15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2
CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1
CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0
Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0
Marbella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)