Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mancha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mancha lately — more wins on the board than UD Carboneras.
- Mancha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 20%
Mancha Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Carboneras | Mancha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 41 |
| Wins | 2 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 13 |
| Losses | 30 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.16 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs UD Carboneras
3:0
Sep 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Mancha
1:2
Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Mancha
1:1
Oct 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs UD Carboneras
1:1
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs UD Carboneras
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Carboneras 10 / 100
Mancha 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Carboneras Mancha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mancha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
UD Carboneras's goal record stands at 6% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Mancha has conceded goals in 56% of their last 41 outings.
Mancha lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mancha
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Carboneras
(Home) 06 May
Marbella
3 : 0 UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0 UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Arenas Armilla
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01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Ciudad de Vicar
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Arenas Armilla
25 Mar
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Martos
11 Mar
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Maracena
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Mancha
(Away) 05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2 Mancha
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30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2 Mancha
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Mancha
01 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 0 Mancha
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comarca | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 57:29 | 79 |
| 2 | Alhaurin | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 58:23 | 78 |
| 3 | Loja | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 61:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga B | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 62:35 | 70 |
| 5 | CD Ronda | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 68:37 | 68 |
| 6 | Maracena | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 51:37 | 63 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72:47 | 62 |
| 8 | Motril | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 50:33 | 58 |
| 9 | Marbella | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 58:46 | 56 |
| 10 | Martos | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:40 | 53 |
| 11 | Mancha | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 49:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36:51 | 46 |
| 13 | El Palo | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:65 | 46 |
| 14 | Ciudad de Vicar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:55 | 45 |
| 15 | Velez | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 56:57 | 44 |
| 16 | UD Carboneras | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 57:71 | 40 |
| 17 | Melilla B | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 40:71 | 34 |
| 18 | CD Baza | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 29:58 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Alhaurino | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 38:58 | 30 |
| 20 | Adra | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 13:106 | 6 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
