Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017

UD Carrion

3 - 1

CD Yuncos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Carrion in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Carrion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

UD Carrion

39%

Draws

31%

CD Yuncos

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

UD Carrion average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Yuncos's 0.5.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

UD Carrion Clean Sheet 17%

CD Yuncos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Carrion	CD Yuncos
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	4
Draws	7	5
Losses	19	22
Goals Scored	1.13	0.5
Goals Conceded	2.25	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

UD Carrion vs CD Yuncos

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

CD Yuncos vs UD Carrion

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carrion 30 / 100

CD Yuncos 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Carrion CD Yuncos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Carrion found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Yuncos let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: CD Yuncos has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Carrion VS CD Yuncos

1.13 Goals Scored 0.5

2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Talavera	38	25	8	5	89:37	83
2	Conquense	38	23	6	9	74:43	75
3	Villarrobledo	38	19	13	6	75:42	70
4	Guadalajara	38	21	7	10	64:43	70
5	Villarrubia	38	20	7	11	61:38	67
6	UD Almansa	38	18	9	11	68:54	63
7	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	17	11	10	53:40	62
8	Quintanar del Rey	38	13	13	12	61:52	52
9	Azuqueca	38	15	7	16	67:57	52
10	Madridejos	38	14	9	15	43:53	51
11	Marchamalo	38	14	8	16	43:49	50
12	Almagro	38	13	10	15	44:52	49
13	Tomelloso	38	14	6	18	46:53	48
14	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	46:66	46
15	Albacete B	38	11	12	15	49:56	45
16	CD Pedroneras	38	10	15	13	46:45	45
17	Toledo 2	38	12	8	18	47:61	44
18	Illescas	38	12	3	23	56:82	39
19	UD Carrion	38	6	8	24	37:90	26
20	CD Yuncos	38	3	7	28	24:80	16