Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017

UD Carrion

1 - 1

Madridejos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017 game between UD Carrion and Madridejos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

UD Carrion

39%

Draws

30%

Madridejos

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

UD Carrion haven't matched Madridejos's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

UD Carrion Clean Sheet 20%

Madridejos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Carrion	Madridejos
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	6
Draws	7	6
Losses	19	19
Goals Scored	0	0.63
Goals Conceded	0	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

UD Carrion vs Madridejos

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Madridejos vs UD Carrion

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carrion 32 / 100

Madridejos 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Carrion Madridejos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Madridejos conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

UD Carrion found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Madridejos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Madridejos

0 Goals Scored 0.63

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Talavera	38	25	8	5	89:37	83
2	Conquense	38	23	6	9	74:43	75
3	Villarrobledo	38	19	13	6	75:42	70
4	Guadalajara	38	21	7	10	64:43	70
5	Villarrubia	38	20	7	11	61:38	67
6	UD Almansa	38	18	9	11	68:54	63
7	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	17	11	10	53:40	62
8	Quintanar del Rey	38	13	13	12	61:52	52
9	Azuqueca	38	15	7	16	67:57	52
10	Madridejos	38	14	9	15	43:53	51
11	Marchamalo	38	14	8	16	43:49	50
12	Almagro	38	13	10	15	44:52	49
13	Tomelloso	38	14	6	18	46:53	48
14	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	46:66	46
15	Albacete B	38	11	12	15	49:56	45
16	CD Pedroneras	38	10	15	13	46:45	45
17	Toledo 2	38	12	8	18	47:61	44
18	Illescas	38	12	3	23	56:82	39
19	UD Carrion	38	6	8	24	37:90	26
20	CD Yuncos	38	3	7	28	24:80	16