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UD Carrion vs UD Almansa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017 game between UD Carrion and UD Almansa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UD Carrion
39%
Draws
30%
UD Almansa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Carrion haven't matched UD Almansa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UD Carrion Clean Sheet 20%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Carrion UD Almansa
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Carrion vs UD Almansa
1:1
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs UD Carrion
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carrion 32 / 100
UD Almansa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Carrion UD Almansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

UD Carrion found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

UD Almansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 37 matches.

Recent resilience: UD Carrion stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Almansa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Carrion

(Home)
01 Aug
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Carrion
13 May
Tomelloso
5 : 1
UD Carrion
07 May
UD Carrion
3 : 1
CD Yuncos
29 Apr
Albacete B
2 : 1
UD Carrion
23 Apr
CD Pedroneras
2 : 0
UD Carrion
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UD Almansa

(Away)
26 Aug
UD Almansa
2 : 7
Ilicitano
20 Aug
UD Almansa
0 : 5
Ilicitano
01 May
Conquense
0 : 3
UD Almansa
24 Apr
UD Almansa
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
10 Apr
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Roda
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CF Talavera38258589:3783
2Conquense38236974:4375
3Villarrobledo381913675:4270
4Guadalajara382171064:4370
5Villarrubia382071161:3867
6UD Almansa381891168:5463
7Manchego Ciudad Real3817111053:4062
8Quintanar del Rey3813131261:5252
9Azuqueca381571667:5752
10Madridejos381491543:5351
11Marchamalo381481643:4950
12Almagro3813101544:5249
13Tomelloso381461846:5348
14Mora CF381371846:6646
15Albacete B3811121549:5645
16CD Pedroneras3810151346:4545
17Toledo 2381281847:6144
18Illescas381232356:8239
19UD Carrion38682437:9026
20CD Yuncos38372824:8016
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)