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UD Casetas vs CD Cuarte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Izquierdo Vela A.
55' Event
Tapia R.
75' Event
Izquierdo Vela A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

CD Cuarte in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Cuarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UD Casetas
35%
Draws
25%
CD Cuarte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Casetas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Cuarte lately — more wins on the board than UD Casetas.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 10%
CD Cuarte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Casetas CD Cuarte
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 6 19
Draws 11 14
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.29 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs CD Cuarte
2:3
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Cuarte vs UD Casetas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Casetas Compare

Top Goalscorer Izquierdo Vela A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8

CD Cuarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tena D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Casetas 34 / 100
CD Cuarte 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Casetas CD Cuarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Cuarte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Casetas's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UD Casetas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: CD Cuarte conceded in 49% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

UD Casetas VS CD Cuarte
2.43 Goals Scored 1.25
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 25%
71% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Casetas

(Home)
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0
Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1
Tamarite
Page 1 of 7

CD Cuarte

(Away)
08 Aug
Huesca B
2 : 2
CD Cuarte
20 Jun
CD Cuarte
1 : 1
CD Badajoz
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)