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UD Gomera vs Estrella

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013
UD Gomera Logo

UD Gomera

0 - 3
FT
Estrella Logo

Estrella

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estrella in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UD Gomera
30%
Draws
47%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrella have won more games recently than UD Gomera.
  • Estrella are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UD Gomera Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Gomera Estrella
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs UD Gomera
2:0
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Gomera vs Estrella
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Gomera 10 / 100
Estrella 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Gomera Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

UD Gomera scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: UD Gomera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estrella
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Gomera

(Home)
18 May
Tenerife B
2 : 0
UD Gomera
12 May
UD Gomera
0 : 2
Atletico Granadilla
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
UD Gomera
2 : 1
Atletico Victoria
21 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
UD Gomera
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Estrella

(Away)
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0
Estrella
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2
CD Marino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 26 7 5 90:27 85
2 Atletico Granadilla 38 24 8 6 64:33 80
3 Estrella 38 24 5 9 66:30 77
4 Union Viera 38 22 9 7 82:49 75
5 Mensajero 38 22 8 8 80:37 74
6 Tenerife B 38 17 12 9 63:40 63
7 Vecindario 38 16 12 10 49:38 60
8 Corralejo 38 16 8 14 43:41 56
9 Las Zocas 38 16 8 14 42:56 56
10 Villa Santa Brigida 38 16 6 16 55:59 54
11 Telde 38 15 9 14 47:56 54
12 Ibarra 38 15 7 16 52:45 52
13 SD Tenisca 38 14 9 15 46:62 51
14 Lanzarote 38 13 10 15 59:58 49
15 Atletico Victoria 38 13 6 19 41:49 45
16 Vera CD 38 12 6 20 43:75 42
17 San Isidro 38 8 9 21 38:57 33
18 San Pedro Martir 38 5 9 24 21:43 24
19 Tijarafe 38 5 3 30 31:92 18
20 UD Gomera 38 3 5 30 30:95 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)