Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Guia vs Atletico Granadilla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 game between UD Guia and Atletico Granadilla finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Guia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
UD Guia
15%
Draws
28%
Atletico Granadilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Guia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Guia's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Atletico Granadilla have produced (0.98).
  • UD Guia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UD Guia Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Granadilla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Guia Atletico Granadilla
Matches Played 35 44
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.14 0.98
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs Atletico Granadilla
3:0
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs UD Guia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Guia 84 / 100
Atletico Granadilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Guia Atletico Granadilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Guia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Guia's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Atletico Granadilla let in goals in 75% of their last 44 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Atletico Granadilla's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Guia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Guia

(Home)
27 Jun
Ibarra
6 : 2
UD Guia
19 Jun
UD Guia
0 : 2
Vera CD
13 Jun
Tacoronte
4 : 1
UD Guia
05 Jun
UD Guia
3 : 2
Atletico Victoria
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Granadilla

(Away)
01 Aug
Las Zocas
5 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
15 May
Atletico Granadilla
0 : 4
Lanzarote
08 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
29 Apr
Ibarra
2 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
23 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
1 : 0
CD Marino
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lanzarote 40 23 10 7 65:30 79
2 Las Palmas B 40 23 9 8 68:43 78
3 Tenerife B 40 21 9 10 64:34 72
4 Atletico Granadilla 40 19 14 7 48:29 71
5 Villa Santa Brigida 40 17 12 11 62:47 63
6 CD Marino 40 17 11 12 52:38 62
7 Corralejo 40 16 14 10 52:39 62
8 Pajara Playas 40 17 6 17 54:59 57
9 SD Tenisca 40 17 6 17 48:58 57
10 Tijarafe 40 16 8 16 54:48 56
11 Vera CD 40 15 11 14 63:60 56
12 CD Laguna 40 15 6 19 47:48 51
13 Mensajero 40 14 8 18 62:62 50
14 AD Huracan 40 12 13 15 45:59 49
15 Teror 40 12 13 15 53:60 49
16 Las Zocas 40 12 11 17 42:50 47
17 Victoria CD 40 14 4 22 36:58 46
18 Orientacion Maritima 40 10 15 15 45:59 45
19 San Isidro 40 12 8 20 44:69 44
20 UD Guia 40 11 9 20 37:47 42
21 UD Realejos 40 6 5 29 40:84 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)