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UD Guia vs Corralejo

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
UD Guia Logo

UD Guia

1 - 1
FT
Corralejo Logo

Corralejo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
UD Guia
15%
Draws
53%
Corralejo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corralejo lately — more wins on the board than UD Guia.
  • Model gives Corralejo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
UD Guia Clean Sheet 17%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Guia Corralejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs Corralejo
1:1
Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs UD Guia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Guia 20 / 100
Corralejo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Guia Corralejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Guia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Corralejo conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

UD Guia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Guia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Guia

(Home)
27 Jun
Ibarra
6 : 2
UD Guia
19 Jun
UD Guia
0 : 2
Vera CD
13 Jun
Tacoronte
4 : 1
UD Guia
05 Jun
UD Guia
3 : 2
Atletico Victoria
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 6

Corralejo

(Away)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lanzarote 40 23 10 7 65:30 79
2 Las Palmas B 40 23 9 8 68:43 78
3 Tenerife B 40 21 9 10 64:34 72
4 Atletico Granadilla 40 19 14 7 48:29 71
5 Villa Santa Brigida 40 17 12 11 62:47 63
6 CD Marino 40 17 11 12 52:38 62
7 Corralejo 40 16 14 10 52:39 62
8 Pajara Playas 40 17 6 17 54:59 57
9 SD Tenisca 40 17 6 17 48:58 57
10 Tijarafe 40 16 8 16 54:48 56
11 Vera CD 40 15 11 14 63:60 56
12 CD Laguna 40 15 6 19 47:48 51
13 Mensajero 40 14 8 18 62:62 50
14 AD Huracan 40 12 13 15 45:59 49
15 Teror 40 12 13 15 53:60 49
16 Las Zocas 40 12 11 17 42:50 47
17 Victoria CD 40 14 4 22 36:58 46
18 Orientacion Maritima 40 10 15 15 45:59 45
19 San Isidro 40 12 8 20 44:69 44
20 UD Guia 40 11 9 20 37:47 42
21 UD Realejos 40 6 5 29 40:84 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)