Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Guia vs Vera CD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 game between UD Guia and Vera CD finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Guia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Guia
15%
Draws
42%
Vera CD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Guia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vera CD come out ahead of UD Guia on wins alone.
  • Model gives UD Guia a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UD Guia Clean Sheet 20%
Vera CD Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Guia Vera CD
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.2 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs Vera CD
0:2
May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Vera CD vs UD Guia
0:0
Mar 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs Vera CD
4:0
Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Vera CD vs UD Guia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Guia 58 / 100
Vera CD 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Guia Vera CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Guia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Guia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Vera CD conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Vera CD has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vera CD
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Guia

(Home)
27 Jun
Ibarra
6 : 2
UD Guia
19 Jun
UD Guia
0 : 2
Vera CD
13 Jun
Tacoronte
4 : 1
UD Guia
05 Jun
UD Guia
3 : 2
Atletico Victoria
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 6

Vera CD

(Away)
01 May
Vera CD
0 : 2
Gran Tarajal
23 Apr
Las Palmas C
4 : 0
Vera CD
17 Apr
Vera CD
1 : 0
CD La Cuadra
10 Apr
Lanzarote
0 : 1
Vera CD
06 Apr
CD Marino
2 : 0
Vera CD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lanzarote 40 23 10 7 65:30 79
2 Las Palmas B 40 23 9 8 68:43 78
3 Tenerife B 40 21 9 10 64:34 72
4 Atletico Granadilla 40 19 14 7 48:29 71
5 Villa Santa Brigida 40 17 12 11 62:47 63
6 CD Marino 40 17 11 12 52:38 62
7 Corralejo 40 16 14 10 52:39 62
8 Pajara Playas 40 17 6 17 54:59 57
9 SD Tenisca 40 17 6 17 48:58 57
10 Tijarafe 40 16 8 16 54:48 56
11 Vera CD 40 15 11 14 63:60 56
12 CD Laguna 40 15 6 19 47:48 51
13 Mensajero 40 14 8 18 62:62 50
14 AD Huracan 40 12 13 15 45:59 49
15 Teror 40 12 13 15 53:60 49
16 Las Zocas 40 12 11 17 42:50 47
17 Victoria CD 40 14 4 22 36:58 46
18 Orientacion Maritima 40 10 15 15 45:59 45
19 San Isidro 40 12 8 20 44:69 44
20 UD Guia 40 11 9 20 37:47 42
21 UD Realejos 40 6 5 29 40:84 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)