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UD Ibiza vs Ilicitano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Varela I.
55' Event
Martinez A.
77' Event
Ortiz P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between UD Ibiza and Ilicitano finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UD Ibiza
15%
Draws
45%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilicitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • UD Ibiza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UD Ibiza's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ibiza Ilicitano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
UD Ibiza vs Ilicitano
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ilicitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ibiza 59 / 100
Ilicitano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ibiza Ilicitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Ibiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

UD Ibiza found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

UD Ibiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Ibiza VS Ilicitano
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ibiza

(Home)
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 0
Sant Andreu
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
30 Aug
Antequera
3 : 2
UD Ibiza
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
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Ilicitano

(Away)
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
19 Aug
Ilicitano
2 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
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